Pediatric hepatic hemangiomas: spectrum and prognostic significance of initial ultrasound findings

Background Hepatic hemangiomas may be associated with serious complications; however, it is unknown whether ultrasound (US) features can predict complications. Objective To analyze initial US features of hepatic hemangiomas predictive of complications. Materials and methods This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of clinical, biological, and imaging data of infants with hepatic hemangioma between 2000 and 2018. Patients were categorized as having or not having any complication(s). Associations between initial US features and complications were analyzed through logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to determine optimal cutoff values for continuous variables. Stepwise forward logistic regression was used to construct risk prediction models with training and validation sets. Model calibration and discrimination were evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow tests, area under the ROC curve, and overall accuracy. Results Of 112 infants with hepatic hemangioma, 67 (60%) had focal, 32 (28%) had multifocal, and 13 (12%) had diffuse lesions, with complication rates of 51%, 34%, and 92%, respectively, mostly cardiac (54/57, 95%). The US characteristics of the hemangiomas were diverse. Risk factors for complications included diffuse subtype; large tumor volume (focal forms); elevated peak systolic hepatic arterial velocity (PSV); and hepatic vein dilation. For focal forms, initial tumor volume >40 ml and PSV >100 cm/s had >70% sensitivity and specificity, respectively, to predict complications; a model including these variables had 75% overall accuracy in the validation set. For multifocal/diffuse forms, a PSV >115 cm/s had sensitivity and specificity to predict complications of >70%; a model including this variable had 78% overall accuracy in the validation set. Conclusion Diffuse subtype, large tumor volume, elevated hepatic arterial PSV, and hepatic vein dilation are risk factors for complications of hepatic hemangiomas. Graphical abstract