Potential Markers to Reduce Non-Contrast Computed Tomography Use for Symptomatic Patients with Suspected Ureterolithiasis

Most patients with ureterolithiasis are managed successfully with conservative treatment. In this context, delineation of clinical risk factors that identify patients with low risk for surgical intervention may reduce use of Non-Contrast Computed Tomography (NCCT). Here, emergency department patient files from a 14-month period were reviewed retrospectively, to identify patients who underwent NCCT and showed a ureteral stone. Demographic, clinical and laboratory information was collected. Patients were grouped to either requiring surgical intervention (Group 1) or having successful conservative management (Group 2). The cohort included 368 patients; 36.1% ultimately required surgical intervention (Group 1) and 63.9% were successfully treated conservatively (Group 2). On univariate analysis, patients who required surgical intervention were older, had longer duration of symptoms, had history of urolithiasis and surgical intervention for urolithiasis and had higher serum creatinine levels. Multivariate analysis identified the following risk factors associated with surgical intervention: creatinine >1.5 mg/dL, duration of symptoms >= 1.5 days and age > 45 years. Patients with 0, 1, 2 or 3 of the identified risk factors had 19%, 32%, 53% and 73% likelihood, respectively, of surgical intervention. Incorporating these data may reduce the use of NCCT scans in patients who are likely to pass a stone via conservative management.